FC 08 Homburg vs Bayern Alzenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 0
FOL
9%
14%
77%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ROT
4 - 6
HOM
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
HOM
3 - 1
KAI
15%
17%
68%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
KÖL
1 - 0
HOM
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
HOM
0 - 14
EIN
7%
15%
79%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BAY
0 - 1
TUR
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
BAY
2 - 3
GRE
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
BAY
2 - 1
SMA
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
VIK
3 - 3
BAY
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 1
SVS
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |