FC 08 Homburg vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1986 |
HOM
6 - 0
STP
62%
19%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1986 |
BYM
3 - 0
HOM
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
HOM
1 - 1
EIN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
RTV
0 - 0
HOM
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1986 |
AUG
1 - 2
HOM
38%
23%
39%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1986 |
LEV
0 - 0
WAL
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
BWB
0 - 1
LEV
31%
23%
46%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1986 |
LEV
1 - 1
DUK
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
BYM
0 - 3
LEV
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
F95
2 - 1
LEV
39%
23%
38%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |