FC 08 Homburg vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ELV
0 - 0
HOM
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
HOM
0 - 1
OFC
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
HOM
0 - 0
AST
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 4
HOM
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
HOM
2 - 0
WWO
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAU
0 - 4
WWO
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 0
BAU
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAU
0 - 3
PIR
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
HES
1 - 0
BAU
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAU
0 - 2
OFC
19%
26%
55%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |