FC 08 Homburg vs Arminia Ludwigshafen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
HAU
1 - 1
HOM
36%
26%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
HOM
1 - 1
ZWE
67%
20%
12%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
HOM
1 - 2
SPO
18%
25%
57%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 3
HOM
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
HOM
0 - 2
BOR
13%
19%
67%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Ludwigshafen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ZWE
1 - 4
ARL
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
BNE
0 - 1
ARL
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 1
AWA
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |