FC 08 Homburg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
FCR
1 - 2
HOM
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
HOM
1 - 0
ELV
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
FCB
1 - 1
HOM
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
HOM
1 - 1
ERK
67%
21%
13%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
WAT
0 - 2
HOM
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
AAA
2 - 0
HAU
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
ROT
0 - 1
AAA
57%
23%
19%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
AAA
0 - 3
VER
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
PRE
0 - 0
AAA
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
AAA
0 - 0
FCR
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |