FC 08 Homburg vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BNE
1 - 0
HOM
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
HOM
2 - 0
FSV
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
FCH
2 - 2
HOM
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
HOM
0 - 1
FRE
77%
15%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
BAU
1 - 4
HOM
27%
26%
48%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
MUN
4 - 4
OFC
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
WWO
1 - 0
MUN
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
MUN
3 - 1
SCF
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
SVS
0 - 3
MUN
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
MUN
2 - 0
EIN
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |