FC 08 Homburg vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1977 |
RVO
3 - 2
HOM
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
OFC
3 - 1
HOM
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1977 |
HOM
3 - 1
STU
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
AUG
3 - 2
HOM
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
HOM
4 - 2
WAL
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
MUN
0 - 0
STU
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
AUG
1 - 3
MUN
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1977 |
MUN
1 - 0
WAL
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
BSV
0 - 1
MUN
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
MUN
2 - 2
DAR
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |