FC 08 Homburg vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1976 |
FSV
1 - 0
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
HOM
3 - 3
SSV
86%
11%
3%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
PIR
3 - 2
HOM
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1976 |
HOM
1 - 1
SAA
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
STU
0 - 2
HOM
55%
23%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1976 |
MUN
1 - 2
RVO
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
SVS
4 - 1
MUN
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
MUN
1 - 0
SGF
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1976 |
BAY
4 - 2
MUN
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
MUN
1 - 3
M05
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |