FC 08 Homburg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
56.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
HOM
1 - 2
TUS
40%
23%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
M05
3 - 1
HOM
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
HOM
4 - 1
SUL
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
EIN
2 - 1
HOM
66%
18%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
ALS
7 - 0
HOM
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1968 |
KOL
3 - 3
BYM
49%
22%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1968 |
MUN
0 - 1
KOL
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1968 |
KOL
2 - 1
HAN
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1967 |
KOL
1 - 0
EBT
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1967 |
AAA
4 - 2
KOL
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |