Holywell vs Llay Welfare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HOL
6 - 0
PRE
80%
14%
7%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
HOL
10%
15%
75%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
HOL
4 - 0
LLA
84%
12%
4%
|
62 | 16 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
HOL
8%
17%
75%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 2
HOL
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Llay Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
LLW
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
LLW
3 - 1
DEN
10%
13%
77%
|
8 | 41 | 33 | +9 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LLW
3 - 6
FMC
33%
22%
45%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
4 - 2
LLW
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AIR
9 - 1
LLW
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 53 | 43 | -1 |