Holywell vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 0
FLI
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
HOL
13%
20%
67%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HOL
4 - 1
GRE
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 1
CPD
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 5
HOL
12%
20%
69%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 2
GUI
51%
22%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 3
MOL
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 1
GUI
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 3
FLI
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 1
RTW
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |