Holywell vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 2
HOL
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
BUC
3 - 3
HOL
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 1
HOL
16%
18%
67%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
HOL
5 - 0
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CON
1 - 4
HOL
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 0
GRE
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 1
GUI
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 3
GUI
6%
16%
78%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 0
GUI
22%
23%
56%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
AIR
2 - 2
GUI
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |