Holywell vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
COL
0 - 3
HOL
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HOL
5 - 0
LLA
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 0
HOL
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 2
HOL
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 0
GUI
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 1
GRE
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LLA
3 - 3
GRE
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
HOL
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 0
GRE
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
GRE
7 - 0
PRE
10%
16%
74%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +5 |