Holywell vs Denbigh Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 3
HOL
21%
22%
57%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 0
BUC
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
HOL
4 - 2
GUI
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 0
FLI
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
HOL
13%
20%
67%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
DEN
6 - 1
AAA
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AIR
3 - 1
DEN
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
DEN
4 - 3
PRE
70%
16%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 2
GUI
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 2
DEN
32%
24%
45%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |