Holywell vs Bangor 1876 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PRE
0 - 1
HOL
7%
14%
79%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 6
HOL
4%
13%
82%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 2
LLA
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 2
HOL
11%
18%
71%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 0
AAA
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Bangor 1876
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BST
6 - 5
CPD
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CPD
0 - 2
RTW
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CPD
3 - 3
PEN
8%
13%
80%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |