Holywell vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 1
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 3
HOL
9%
18%
72%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HOL
4 - 0
GRE
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
COL
0 - 3
HOL
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HOL
5 - 0
LLA
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
CON
61%
21%
19%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 0
CON
62%
19%
18%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CON
1 - 3
GUI
13%
20%
67%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CON
0 - 4
LLA
24%
24%
53%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
AIR
3 - 1
CON
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | -1 |