Holywell vs Chirk AAA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
FMC
3 - 1
HOL
5%
10%
86%
|
54 | 12 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CPD
1 - 4
HOL
8%
15%
77%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HOL
3 - 1
CAE
84%
11%
5%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FLI
1 - 1
HOL
43%
24%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
PRE
0 - 4
HOL
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 1
POR
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 2
AAA
68%
16%
16%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 4
FLI
10%
18%
72%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RTW
3 - 2
AAA
77%
13%
10%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 4
AAA
31%
22%
48%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |