Holyhead Hotspur vs Rhos Aelwyd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
32%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 0
LLA
63%
18%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 0
HOL
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 0
COL
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AIR
1 - 0
HOL
85%
11%
5%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
BAN
4 - 0
HOL
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Rhos Aelwyd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RHY
3 - 0
AEL
88%
8%
3%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CAE
4 - 1
AEL
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AEL
2 - 3
PEN
16%
19%
66%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AEL
2 - 2
FLI
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AEL
1 - 1
LLA
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |