Holyhead Hotspur vs Penrhyncoch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
16º
15º
16
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 4
GUI
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LLA
3 - 1
HOL
58%
20%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 2
GRE
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 3
HOL
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
HOL
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AAA
0 - 0
PEN
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
PRE
14%
17%
70%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
RTW
2 - 1
PEN
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
PEN
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
HOL
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |