Holyhead Hotspur vs Chirk AAA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
16º
15º
26
12º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
PRE
4 - 1
HOL
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 2
RTW
32%
24%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 4
COL
9%
17%
74%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
LLA
5 - 2
HOL
79%
15%
6%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
COL
4 - 0
HOL
84%
12%
5%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 6
LLA
14%
21%
66%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CEF
6 - 1
AAA
75%
14%
12%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AAA
0 - 0
CEF
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
AAA
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AAA
0 - 2
HOL
14%
20%
67%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |