Holstein Kiel vs Wolfsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
14º
18º
18º
3
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 88 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 74 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 69 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 61 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 55 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 52 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 42 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 42 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 39 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 37 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 29 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 28 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 25 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
52% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HOF
3 - 2
HOL
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AAA
2 - 3
HOL
13%
18%
69%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 3
ASS
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
HOL
56%
22%
21%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 0
HOL
9%
15%
76%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 3
BYM
5%
10%
85%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 1
WOL
4%
12%
84%
|
88 | 37 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 4
WOL
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
WOL
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
WOL
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |