Holstein Kiel vs Wolfsburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
EBT
1 - 0
HOL
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
HOL
3 - 1
PRE
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
WER
1 - 4
HOL
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
HOL
3 - 1
CHE
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
LUB
1 - 0
HOL
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Wolfsburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
WOL
1 - 3
WUP
33%
26%
42%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
HER
3 - 0
WOL
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
WOL
0 - 2
KFC
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
EBT
3 - 1
WOL
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
WOL
1 - 1
PRE
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |