Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 2
STU
17%
21%
63%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 2
HOL
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 4
MAI
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SON
1 - 1
HOL
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
HOL
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
WER
0 - 2
COT
34%
26%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ROS
1 - 2
WER
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 2
WER
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
WER
0 - 0
BOR
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CLO
0 - 2
WER
25%
23%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |