Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1999 |
HOL
2 - 1
LUB
22%
25%
53%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
LUN
5 - 0
HOL
56%
24%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
HOL
0 - 1
WSV
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1999 |
WER
4 - 0
HOL
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1999 |
HOL
0 - 3
OSN
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1999 |
MEP
2 - 4
WER
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
WER
1 - 3
CEL
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
SRF
2 - 5
WER
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1999 |
WER
4 - 0
HOL
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
LUB
1 - 0
WER
56%
22%
23%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |