Holstein Kiel vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
OSN
2 - 3
HOL
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
HOL
2 - 0
BAY
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
HOL
0 - 1
PRE
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
WUP
0 - 0
HOL
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
HOL
1 - 0
ROT
58%
21%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
WUP
1 - 0
WAT
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 3
CZJ
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 2
PRE
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
WAT
3 - 2
BAY
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
F95
1 - 0
WAT
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |