Holstein Kiel vs SV Lurup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
CEL
1 - 2
HOL
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1995 |
COH
0 - 1
HOL
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
HOL
1 - 3
VFB
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
OSC
1 - 1
HOL
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
HOL
3 - 2
WSV
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
SVL
2 - 1
CLO
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1995 |
WSV
4 - 3
SVL
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
SVL
1 - 3
WER
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
TSH
0 - 4
SVL
27%
28%
46%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
SVL
1 - 2
LUB
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |