Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
62.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 2
HOL
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 4
MAI
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SON
1 - 1
HOL
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
HOL
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 0
MUN
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
STU
4 - 2
MAC
13%
20%
66%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 1
STU
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
ILS
0 - 13
STU
4%
10%
87%
|
81 | 11 | 70 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
YOB
4 - 1
STU
50%
22%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
VKP
3 - 6
STU
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |