Holstein Kiel vs SC Herford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
WAT
3 - 1
HOL
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1979 |
HOL
3 - 3
KÖL
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
VIK
3 - 1
HOL
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
HOL
3 - 2
OSV
69%
16%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1979 |
HOL
3 - 3
RWL
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Herford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
SCH
1 - 0
WUP
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1979 |
OSV
0 - 3
SCH
40%
23%
37%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
SCH
4 - 0
OSC
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
SCH
3 - 1
RWL
69%
17%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1979 |
ROT
2 - 0
SCH
75%
15%
9%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |