Holstein Kiel vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
PLA
0 - 2
HOL
28%
27%
46%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
HOL
1 - 0
WOL
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
HOL
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
HOL
2 - 1
HAM
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
HAL
1 - 1
HOL
30%
27%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SAC
0 - 1
HAN
31%
28%
41%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 1
SAC
66%
21%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SAC
0 - 3
OBE
44%
27%
30%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
TUR
2 - 0
SAC
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAC
1 - 3
ALT
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |