Holstein Kiel vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
HOL
1 - 1
EBT
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ERZ
3 - 1
HOL
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
HOL
2 - 2
BAY
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SVS
1 - 1
HOL
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
HOL
1 - 1
WEH
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ERF
1 - 0
BOR
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
OSN
3 - 1
ERF
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SSV
0 - 2
ERF
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ERF
0 - 0
ERZ
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
BAY
1 - 0
ERF
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |