Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
67%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
HOL
2 - 3
CHE
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
SGD
2 - 1
HOL
56%
24%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
HOL
1 - 1
BAB
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
WER
2 - 2
HOL
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
HOL
1 - 2
PAD
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
S04
0 - 0
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
HER
1 - 1
STU
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
BVB
2 - 2
HER
45%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2002 |
S04
1 - 4
HER
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
BVB
1 - 2
HER
49%
25%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |