Holstein Kiel vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SGD
3 - 0
HOL
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
HOL
0 - 1
CZJ
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
UNT
3 - 1
HOL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
HOL
2 - 2
ING
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
OFC
2 - 3
HOL
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 1
BOR
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
OSN
3 - 2
HEI
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 2
ERF
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ERZ
0 - 1
HEI
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
HEI
4 - 2
BAY
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |