Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
ISC
3 - 0
HOL
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1981 |
OSV
0 - 1
HOL
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1981 |
HOL
0 - 2
EBT
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
HOL
2 - 3
AAA
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
KÖL
3 - 2
HOL
75%
16%
10%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
HER
5 - 1
KÖL
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 0
PRE
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1981 |
USO
1 - 1
KÖL
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
ERK
0 - 4
KÖL
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
KÖL
3 - 2
HOL
75%
16%
10%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |