Holstein Kiel vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
HOL
2 - 1
SCF
27%
22%
51%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
STP
0 - 1
HOL
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HOL
1 - 1
KOL
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HOL
21%
25%
53%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
HOL
4 - 2
DAR
44%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ING
1 - 1
MSV
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
SVS
4 - 0
ING
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ING
1 - 2
PAD
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
ING
1 - 2
FCU
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
KOL
2 - 1
ING
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |