Holstein Kiel vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
52.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1941 |
HOL
4 - 0
BWB
28%
22%
51%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1941 |
BRE
1 - 2
HOL
78%
13%
10%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1937 |
F95
2 - 1
HOL
71%
16%
14%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
HOL
5 - 3
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
HAN
4 - 3
HOL
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -23 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1941 |
CZJ
3 - 0
MET
49%
21%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1941 |
CZJ
5 - 3
FUL
85%
10%
6%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
EBT
7 - 0
CZJ
57%
20%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |