Holstein Kiel vs Concordia Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
HAM
3 - 0
HOL
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
HOL
0 - 0
SVL
69%
18%
12%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
CEL
1 - 2
HOL
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1995 |
COH
0 - 1
HOL
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
HOL
1 - 3
VFB
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Concordia Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
COH
0 - 0
CLO
50%
25%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
EIN
3 - 2
COH
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1995 |
COH
2 - 0
STP
49%
26%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 1995 |
COH
0 - 1
HOL
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -3 |
| 26 May. 1995 |
ISC
2 - 1
COH
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |