Holstein Kiel vs TuS Celle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
SRF
3 - 1
HOL
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
HOL
3 - 2
VFB
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 1999 |
HOL
3 - 0
ENO
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
EIN
2 - 0
HOL
49%
26%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
HOL
2 - 2
EBT
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Celle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
CEL
0 - 1
OSN
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
HER
1 - 1
CEL
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1999 |
CEL
1 - 0
EBT
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
CLO
1 - 0
CEL
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
CEL
2 - 4
VFB
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |