Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
HOL
2 - 2
VHG
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
ISC
5 - 0
HOL
36%
23%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
HOL
2 - 1
TBR
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
AHA
0 - 1
HOL
39%
24%
38%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
HOL
6 - 1
WOL
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
F95
2 - 0
ARB
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
ARB
4 - 1
RTV
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
LEV
5 - 3
ARB
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
ARB
2 - 2
EGE
79%
13%
8%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
SHE
3 - 1
ARB
42%
24%
35%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |