Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
14º
18º
17º
21
4º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 75 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 62 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 56 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 55 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 49 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 48 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 38 |
12º
|
33% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 36 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
42% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
66% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
HOL
5 - 0
SIF
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
HOL
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 4
EIN
17%
20%
64%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RTV
2 - 2
HOL
44%
24%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 6
BYM
4%
8%
88%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCU
2 - 1
BVB
13%
19%
68%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
FCU
44%
26%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FCU
2 - 1
HOF
37%
24%
39%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RBL
0 - 0
FCU
74%
18%
8%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 0
STP
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |