Holstein Kiel II vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HOL
4 - 2
VFL
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
HOL
4 - 1
WER
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BSV
2 - 2
HOL
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HOL
2 - 0
GER
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
HOL
0 - 1
STP
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
VFB
5 - 1
LUB
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VFL
0 - 2
LUB
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
LUB
3 - 1
WEI
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
LUB
3 - 1
WER
31%
27%
43%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
DRO
2 - 1
LUB
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |