Holstein Kiel II vs Hagen Ahrensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FLE
5 - 2
HOL
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
HOL
3 - 1
TUR
86%
9%
5%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
KRO
2 - 4
HOL
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 3
LUB
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HUS
3 - 2
HOL
17%
20%
64%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 1
HAG
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
HAG
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
HAG
1 - 1
HEI
38%
24%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 0
HEI
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 3
PRE
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |