Holstein Kiel II vs Eintracht Norderstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
16º
13º
11
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 67 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 64 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 63 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 63 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 51 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 44 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 34 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 34 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 34 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 34 |
18º
|
14% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
HAV
1 - 0
HOL
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 2
HOL
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
JED
3 - 1
HOL
33%
26%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 1
BRE
42%
23%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DRO
1 - 1
HOL
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Eintracht Norderstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
STP
1 - 1
EIN
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 0
TOD
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WER
1 - 1
EIN
70%
17%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 0
VFB
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 1
GUT
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |