Holstebro vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
HOL
2 - 1
79%
13%
9%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
HOL
0 - 3
AAR
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
AAL
1 - 1
HOL
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
IFL
2 - 1
HOL
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
HOL
2 - 2
LYS
74%
15%
12%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
RIN
0 - 1
AAF
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
BRØ
2 - 0
AAF
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
AAF
2 - 2
AVA
33%
26%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
AAF
3 - 1
HVI
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
B93
1 - 0
AAF
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |