Holmen vs Notodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 0
HOL
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
POR
2 - 2
HOL
54%
21%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HOL
2 - 4
FRA
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 2
HOL
25%
21%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
ODD
4 - 1
HOL
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NOT
3 - 3
ALT
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ODD
1 - 3
NOT
22%
22%
56%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 2
JER
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
1 - 1
NOT
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NOT
3 - 2
VIN
48%
22%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |