Holy Cross vs Lafayette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
41.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holy Cross
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AWP
2 - 0
HLC
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HLC
4 - 1
BBS
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
HLC
1 - 0
LMH
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NMP
3 - 0
HLC
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
HLC
3 - 1
CRS
84%
11%
6%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lafayette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LFL
1 - 2
AUE
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LMH
2 - 0
LFL
10%
16%
74%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -3 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LYM
1 - 2
LFL
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LFL
1 - 0
CRS
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
NMP
3 - 2
LFL
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |