Hollfeld vs Selbitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ERB
1 - 0
HOL
60%
19%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 0
AUB
13%
19%
68%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +4 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
ELT
6 - 0
HOL
86%
10%
5%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ERL
3 - 0
HOL
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
WUR
2 - 1
HOL
86%
10%
5%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SEL
3 - 2
ERB
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 2
SEL
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 0
ELT
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AMB
2 - 3
SEL
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 0
SEL
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |