Hollfeld vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WUR
4 - 0
HOL
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 2
SEL
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
AMB
4 - 0
HOL
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
HOL
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 1
AHA
14%
20%
67%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ERB
4 - 3
AUB
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AHA
2 - 0
ERB
31%
24%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ERB
3 - 2
AMM
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
NEU
0 - 2
ERB
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ERB
3 - 4
JFO
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |