Hollfeld vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
66.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AHA
4 - 0
HOL
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 1
AMM
23%
23%
55%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NEU
3 - 1
HOL
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JFO
5 - 0
HOL
83%
12%
6%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 5
SCH
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 1
AMB
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
AHA
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AMM
2 - 2
AUB
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NEU
3 - 3
AUB
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 4
JFO
43%
24%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |