Hollfeld vs 1. FC Sand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ERB
3 - 1
HOL
80%
12%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 4
AUB
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AHA
4 - 0
HOL
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 1
AMM
23%
23%
55%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NEU
3 - 1
HOL
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Sand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
AUB
18%
21%
62%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 3
AMM
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GRO
3 - 2
SAN
82%
11%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 5
JFO
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 0
SAN
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |