Hollenbach vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
GRU
2 - 1
HOL
43%
24%
32%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 0
FRE
23%
22%
56%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 3
VFR
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 2
HOL
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BIS
0 - 1
HOL
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
SPI
3 - 3
OFF
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SIN
3 - 4
SPI
53%
21%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
VFR
3 - 0
SPI
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SPI
3 - 3
AST
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SPI
0 - 3
NEC
25%
24%
52%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |